(The Raw Story) Gap between men and women in polling reaches near historic high
An analysis published Sunday by FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver in the New York Times shows that polling reveals that women’s candidate preferences differ dramatically from men’s in a gap greater than nearly any time in modern history.
“If only women voted, President Obama would be on track for a landslide re-election, equaling or exceeding his margin of victory over John McCain in 2008,” Silver wrote. “If only men voted, Mr. Obama would be biding his time until a crushing defeat at the hands of Mitt Romney, who might win by a similar margin to the one Ronald Reagan realized over Jimmy Carter in 1980.”
The polling averages vary widely, Silver writes, varying from 33 points in a Zogby for the Washington Times to just 8 points in Washington Post and Pew Research polls. “On average, however, there was an 18-point gender gap, with Mr. Obama leading by an average of 9 points among women but trailing by 9 points among men,” Silver wrote.